With American Idol dipping 7 percent week-to-week to its lowest rating since July 2003, ABC’s Modern Family — at least per preliminary numbers — is looking at its first Wednesday win ever over the Fox juggernaut, scoring a 3.9 rating to Idol‘s 3.8.
The closest the ABC sitcom has come to Idol previously was within a tenth of a rating point (just last week), so even if it winds up a tie in the finals… still a first.
Though Idol of course led the night in total viewers, it did so with its smallest audience (13.15 mil) since August 2002, down 8 percent week-to-week.
Also of note this Wednesday: NBC’s Chicago Fire (with a 1.9 rating) scored its first ever demo win over an original CSI (down 22 percent to 1.8), as well as bested Nashville (down two tenths to 1.6). Who else agrees with Twitter’s MaskedScheduler here?
Prediction: By mid-season 13/14 or Fall '14 at the latest NBC will introduce "New York:Fire" to the schedule….you know I'm right.—
masked scheduler (@maskedscheduler) February 28, 2013
ABC | The Middle (8 mil/2.1) and The Neighbors (6.12 mil/1.7) both dipped two tenths. Modern Family (10.6 mil/3.9) ticked down a tenth, while Suburgatory (6.3 mil/2.3) rose 10 and 15 percent. Nashville (5.14 mil/1.6) was down 11 percent.
CBS | Survivor (9.43 mil/2.6) rose two tenths, Criminal Minds (10.6 mil/2.6) was flat and CSI (9.3 mil/1.8) dropped 13 and 22 percent.
FOX | The aforementioned Idol (13.15 mil/3.8) dipped 9 and 7 percent week-to-week.
NBC | Whitney (3.55 mil/1.2) and the Guys With Kids season finale (3.15 mil/1.1) each ticked up a tenth. SVU (5.6 mil/1.6) and Chicago Fire (6.54 mil/1.9) were flat.
THE CW | Arrow (3.3 mil/1.0) added some eyeballs and ticked up a tenth, while Supernatural (2.24/0.9) ticked up in total audience.