The Voice predictions

The Voice Predictions: Who's at Risk on Semifinal Results Night?

Is predicting the results of The Voice Season 11 semifinals as easy as 1, 2, 3, 4?

At first glance, it looks that way.

With only a quartet of artists set to advance to the finale, half the field will be culled by the end of Tuesday’s results telecast (8/7c on NBC). And interestingly enough, there’s a foursome of vocalists who managed to crack the Top 10 of the iTunes singles chart by the close of voting time — qualifying them for the coveted 5x sales vote multiplier that will give them an edge over their rivals.

Even more eye-popping? The lucky fellas — Billy, Sundance, Josh and Christian — occupy the top four slots on the aforementioned countdown.

Granted, downloads are only one component of the elimination equation — there’s also online, Facebook and Voice app votes to consider — but over the last several seasons, with only a few exceptions, those at or near the bottom of the sales chart have found themselves fighting for a Twitter save.

On tonight’s show, the top three vote-getters will automatically move to the finale, while the bottom two artists will be sent home immediately.

Then, the middle three artists will compete in the Instant Save for the last spot in the finale.

Let’s make some educated guesses about who’s at risk:

Ranking on iTunes Singles Chart at Close of Voting (Tuesday, Noon ET)
1. Billy Gilman (Team Adam), “I Surrender”
2. Sundance Head (Team Blake), “Love Can Build a Bridge”
3. Josh Gallagher (Team Adam), “Danny’s Song”
4. Christian Cuevas (Team Alicia), “To Worship You I Live (Away)”
11. Brendan Fletcher (Team Adam), “Angel”
12. Wé McDonald (Team Alicia), “Scars to Your Beautiful”
14. Ali Caldwell (Team Miley), “I Will Always Love You”
42. Aaron Gibson (Team Miley), “Everything I Do (I Do It For You)”

Billy and Sundance have been crushing it on iTunes all season, and (along with Wé), receiving the lion’s share of hype from the coaches and EP Mark Burnett. They’re mortal locks to occupy two of next week’s finale slots.

Josh at No. 3 presents an interesting twist in the plot. He’s been toward the bottom half of the sales pack for a few weeks now, but benefitted on Monday from what I’d argue was his strongest showing of the live shows to date — at the exact moment several of his more popular competitors stumbled. Does he have the existing fan base, however, to keep him in the Top 3 once app and Facebook votes are tallied? I’m guessing the answer is “no,” and if he winds up in the Twitter Save showdown, that will open the door for Brendan, Wé or Ali to sneak into the finale.

Meanwhile, Christian’s had back-to-back Top 10 iTunes showings, and while I wasn’t crazy about his vocal on Monday, he seems to be peaking in popularity at the exact right moment. I’m guessing he’s a safe bet to advance, too, especially since religious-themed music is extremely popular among The Voice faithful. Look for him to snag the third automatic spot in the finale.

In the Instant Save sing-off, then, expect to see Josh, Wé and either Brendan or Ali. And because The Voice‘s Chosen Ones rarely (if ever) fall short of the finale, I’m guessing Wé will sing last, get glowing remarks from multiple coaches and advance, giving freshman coach (and scheduled Season 12 returnee) Alicia Keys a role in the finale. (Sorry, Miley! But if you make good on your promise to turn Ali into a superstar, you can be a winner, too!)

Predictions
Advancing: Billy, Sundance, Christian, Wé
Eliminated: Ali, Josh, Aaron, Brendan

Who do you think will and should advance to the finale? Are you surprised by Josh’s big iTunes moment? Share your thoughts in the comments!