the voice elimination prediction

The Voice Predictions: Who's at Risk on Top 9 Results Night?

The Voice Top 9 results telecast (tonight, 8/7c on NBC) should be as predictable as Pharrell sporting a knit cap — if the contestants’ iTunes rankings are to be believed.

Indeed, two artists are straggling like elderly impala at the back of the sales pack — and seem most likely to fall into the cruel and unforgiving jaws of elimination. But then again, we can’t forget about the all-powerful Blake Multiplier*. (*By which the country coach’s rabid fans vote for his artists regardless of performance quality.)

Granted, downloads are only one component of the elimination equation — there’s also online and Voice app votes to consider — but the Bottom 2 in Top 11 and Top 10 Weeks reinforced the idea of iTunes as a solid predictive tool. Once again this week, there’ll be a Bottom 2, an instant save, and only one elimination.

Let’s make some educated guesses about who’s at risk:

Ranking on iTunes Singles Chart at Close of Voting (Tuesday, Noon ET)
9. Adam Wakefield — Linda Ronstadt’s “Love Has No Pride”
10. Laith Al-Saadi — Bob Seger’s “We’ve Got Tonight”
11. Mary Sarah — Maren Morris’ “My Church”
18. Hannah Huston — Jessie Ware’s “Say You Love Me”
21. Bryan Bautista — Beyoncé’s “1 + 1”
25. Alisan Porter — Aerosmith’s “Cryin'”
37. Shalyah Fearing — Sam Cooke’s “A Change Is Gonna Come”
78. Paxton Ingram — Whitney Houston’s “I Wanna Dance With Somebody (Who Loves Me)”
113. Nick Hagelin — Drake’s “Hold On We’re Going Home”

By cracking the iTunes Top 10, Adam and Laith qualify for the multiplier bonus — and are all but guaranteed to advance to the Top 8.

Less certain — but pretty safe bets to advance — are Mary, Hannah, Bryan and Alisan, all of whom sold well enough to crack the iTunes Top 25.

If there’s going to be a surprise entry in the Bottom 2, it could be Shalyah, whose No. 37 finish is solid, but not exactly spectacular. She’s been near the bottom of the sales heap for three weeks running — which could indicate a less-than-zealous fan base.

Then again, Shalyah still winds up 41 places above Paxton and 76 slots above Nick — an indication that, at least among music buyers, her vocal performance was significantly more pleasing than those gents.

Nick would be the safest bet for a Bottom 2 showing – given his last-place sales ranking and the fact that he was in the Bottom 2 last week. On paper, you’d expect him to face off against Paxton (especially given the latter fella’s show-opening death slot) but as we’ve learned time and again, it’s dangerous to underestimate the power of Team Blake.

Bottom 2 Prediction: Nick and Shalyah (or perhaps Nick and Paxton) — with Nick going home.

Who do you think will and should go home on The Voice Top 9 results night? Sound off in the comments!