the voice blake shelton

The Voice Predictions: Who's at Risk on Top 12 Results Night?

The Voice‘s Top 12 results telecast (tonight, 8/7c on NBC) could turn out to be the best of times and the worst of times for Coach Blake Shelton.

After all, while the country superstar’s main man Adam Wakefield is atop the Season 10 heap when it comes to iTunes sales, Blake’s remaining two artists find themselves on the exact opposite end of the spectrum as of noon ET (the official close of voting).

Granted, downloads are only one component of the equation — there’s also online and Voice app votes to consider — but there’s a pretty clear pecking order based on chart position on a night when there’ll be a Bottom 2, an instant save, and only one elimination. Let’s take a look:

Ranking on iTunes Singles Chart at Close of Voting (Tuesday, Noon ET)
7. Adam Wakefield – Allman Brothers’ “Soulshine” (Team Blake)
9. Alisan Porter – Demi Lovato’s “Stone Cold” (Team Xtina)
26. Emily Keener – Jeff Buckley’s “Lilac Wine” (Team Pharrell)
40. Nick Hagelin – Blake Shelton’s “Mine Would be You” (Team Xtina)
41. Hannah Huston – Etta James’ “Something’s Got a Hold on Me” (Team Pharrell)
44. Laith Al-Saadi – Albert King’s “Born Under a Bad Sign” (Team Adam)
45. Owen Danoff – Lukas Graham’s “7 Years” (Team Adam)
47. Shalyah Fearing – Patti Griffin’s “Up to the Mountain” (Team Adam)
71. Bryan Bautista – Seal’s “Kiss From a Rose” (Team Xtina)
78. Daniel Passino – Michael Jackson’s “Human Nature” (Team Pharrell)
86. Mary Sarah – Carrie Underwood’s “So Small” (Team Blake)
163. Paxton Ingram – Selena Gomez’s “Hands to Myself” (Team Blake)

It is as certain as Pharrell’s dedication to Adidas that Adam and Alisan will advance to next week’s show, given that they both cracked the Top 10 in iTunes, and qualified for the “multiplier” bonus. Emily, too, looks like a lock, seeing how she’s the only other artist in the Top 30.

Meanwhile, barring a total and unprecedented abandonment by their burgeoning fan bases, Nick, Hannah, Laith, Owen and Shalyah are all safe bets, considering the sales distance between them and this week’s bottom four. So while Team Adam’s best individual showing this week is sixth out of 12, he can nevertheless start celebrating that his entire team will still be with us next week.

That leaves Bryan, Daniel, Mary and Paxton in potential jeopardy. Paxton, who needed Blake’s save in last week’s Live Playoffs results and is almost 80 places behind Mary on iTunes, is the obvious pick for elimination — and a stark reminder that Blake really should’ve spared Joe Maye or Katie Basden last week, unless he’s secretly getting paid to help Xtina break the “girl curse.”

Who’ll join Paxton in the bottom — and be forced to sing for the Twitter save — is the biggest question mark looming over results night. You can’t discount the Blake Factor — voters love him, and they love his country artists — which is good news for Mary. That said, she performed in the show-opening “death slot” on Monday, and was thoroughly forgettable, too. Bryan’s iffy song choice and possible vote-split with Xtina’s other “hot guy” Nick could hurt him, but let’s be honest: He’s one of the most commercially viable fellas in recent Voice history.

In the end, Daniel Passino’s cruise-ship cheesiness and relative dearth of screen time (compared to Bryan and Mary) means it’ll probably come down to him or Paxton waiting for the guillotine to drop. Here’s hoping he chooses his “Save Me” song wisely!

Who do you think will and should go home on The Voice Top 12 results night? Sound off in the comments!